The primary Mexico Open at Vidanta ever on the PGA Tour schedule is right here and we’re making our DraftKings picks and constructing a successful PGA DFS lineup.
For those who don’t keep in mind the Mexico Open at Vidanta from earlier years on the PGA Tour, you’re truly in the appropriate. This can be a debut occasion on the tour, although the match itself has been performed for a few years on varied different excursions. That plus a comparatively weak subject offers fairly an fascinating look as we break down the DraftKings PGA DFS slate for this week.
The pure inclination goes to be to place the fellows you understand in your lineup and, to a point, you need to do this. On the similar time, although, most individuals are going to suppose that means, so that you’re going to need to discover the appropriate spots to make a pivot along with your picks as a way to differ your lineup up sufficient to present you extra upside.
With that mentioned, doing so goes to take some surgical precision along with your picks provided that solely six gamers ranked within the High 50 on this planet are taking part in at Vidanta Vallarta, a course that we don’t know however have sufficient data to acknowledge that gamers are going to must be lengthy and able to rating to compete and contend.
My professional picks and greatest bets are within the hyperlink on the prime whereas BetSided’s Iain MacMillan provided up his outright picks as effectively. Now that we’ve laid the groundwork, let’s dissect our prime performs and fades for every pricing tier with our Mexico Open DraftKings picks.
DraftKings picks for Mexico Open PGA DFS lineups: High Performs
$10,000: Jon Rahm ($11,300) – Whenever you take a look at the $10K vary this week, the one participant you need to even think about is Rahm. Given what his odds are to win, you can argue that he’s underpriced and we all know what his prime type appears to be like like. That being mentioned, he’s the plain play due to the remainder of the vary simply not being value this worth both due to course match or latest type (or each). In any case, go Rahm or begin your lineup within the $9K vary. Personally, I choose the latter.
$9,000: Gary Woodland ($9,900) – Any lineup that I construct for this week goes to start out with Gary Woodland. Certain, he’s my choose to win, however I additionally suppose his type and the best way he performs suits completely with what most individuals imagine might be required this week. He’s lengthy off the tee, his method play has been phenomenal, and he’s been gaining with the putter. I like him this week and suppose he needs to be near a must-play seeing that he simply escapes the $10K vary. Additionally think about: Sebastian Munoz ($9,800), Chris Kirk ($9,600), Aaron Clever ($9,500), Kevin Streelman ($9,100)
$8,000: Charles Howell III ($8,400) – Issues do get a bit powerful to navigate within the $8K vary, particularly as a result of you’ll most likely must dip into this vary irrespective of the place you begin your lineup. Howell may not be the sexiest choose however he may very effectively be a great one. Among the best course comps for Vidanta is TPC San Antonio for the Valero. Howell was T4 there this 12 months and has one other High 10 just lately. He’s additionally performed decently effectively at resort-style and tropical programs. In a spread I’m skeptical of, I’ll take Howell. Additionally think about: Sahith Theegala ($8,800), Aaron Rai ($8,700), Davis Riley ($8,500), Lanto Griffin ($8,300)
$7,000: Tyler Duncan ($7,200) – I’m going to maintain beating the Tyler Duncan drum this week. He’s been in sneaky good type of late with a T14 at Zurich, T12 at RBC Heritage and two High 30s earlier than that. He’s not lengthy off the tee, which is a fear, however he’s been actually good on lengthy approaches this 12 months. Furthermore, Duncan completed T35 and T28 at Puerto Rico and Puntacana, two different comps for Vidanta. At this worth, he’s a terrific worth who may actually pop this week. Additionally think about: Anirban Lahiri ($7,900), Austin Smotherman ($7,800), Scott Stallings ($7,700), Patrick Rodgers ($7,600), Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
$6,000: Justin Decrease ($6,800) – My greatest recommendation could be to attempt to keep away from the $6K vary if in any respect potential. It will get fairly bleak down right here. Nevertheless, I do just like the upside of Decrease, a man who thrived on the Korn Ferry final 12 months and this 12 months and who was High 20 at each Corales Putacana and the Bermuda, two resort-style programs with sticky Paspalum. That makes him value a glance if it’s a must to dive into the underside vary. Additionally Contemplate: Hayden Buckley ($6,800), Brandon Hagy ($6,400)
DraftKings picks for Mexico Open PGA DFS lineups: High Fades
$10,000: Kevin Na ($10,100) – Don’t simply take a look at Na’s latest type and suppose you may be getting a little bit of worth on this weak subject. Sure, he’s completed effectively, however he’s carried out so on programs that don’t require him to hit it far off the tee or play effectively together with his lengthy approaches, two areas the place he’s beneath common this season. This course figures to demand that of gamers and he’s not value this worth. And for what it’s value, keep away from Patrick Reed just like the plague as effectively.
$9,000: Brendon Todd ($9,300) – Very like with Na, the requisite size required to succeed at a course equivalent to this simply doesn’t appear to be there with Todd. Maybe extra importantly, he’s been far too erratic given the conservative nature of his recreation. If I’m paying up in a talent-rich $9K vary, I need extra certainty than what Todd brings to the desk, so I gained’t have any inventory in him this week in Mexico.
$8,000: Doug Ghim ($8,900) – Over his profession, we’ve seen Ghim actually pop at instances and a match equivalent to this one with a weak subject would make sense. With that mentioned, nonetheless, the shape simply isn’t there for me to pay this worth to have him in my lineup. He’s missed the minimize in 4 of his final six begins, together with on the Valero Texas Open. I can’t purchase into that this week and he’s a part of the rationale why the $8K vary is so sketcy in my eyes.
$7,000: Wyndham Clark ($7,600) – In some facets, a big-hitter like Wyndham Clark may pop at this course the place errant drives shouldn’t be too penal and gamers have to bump it far down the observe off the tee. That is in regards to the eye take a look at, although. Whereas Clark and Cameron Tringale performed solidly on the Zurich, Clark individually regarded not nice in any respect. There may be some good worth within the $7K vary and Clark simply isn’t going to make the minimize after what I noticed final week.
Mexico Open: Greatest DraftKings golf lineup
- Gary Woodland ($9,900)
- Aaron Clever ($9,500)
- Charles Howell III ($8,400)
- Anirban Lahiri ($7,900)
- Tyler Duncan ($7,200)
- Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
Woodland, Howell and Duncan have all been lined and I like their mixture of upside and type heading into this week the place they need to all be stable course suits. As for Clever, he’s the linchpin for this lineup. His ball-striking has been terrific however, as all the time, his putter has killed him. All indications, nonetheless, are that needs to be marginalized by the course and greens this week, which means he may make some actual noise.
We’ve additionally seen Lahiri pop this 12 months with a second-place end at THE PLAYERS and a T13 at Valero. He appears to be a pleasant match right here and could possibly be a sleeper. As for Bramlett, it is a shot-in-the-dark on a bomber who can be good together with his lengthy irons. His type isn’t a lot to jot down residence about however there may be potential for him to only overpower this course and make some noise.